Forums

Imbalanced Chess: what are the odds that 100 elo win against Magnus Carlsen?

Sort:
Penguin4096
Aserew12phone 写道:

The room was full of people arguing about en passant

Oh lol

En passant is tempting lol

Aserew12phone

And they probably dont know what chess. Com is

Diazarus

I was gonna say take a bucket loader to the beach, scoop up half a cubic yard of sand , count the grains and put that number before the colon. But then I saw the board setup, so......... Surely far, far better than the odds that a chimp strolling up to a typewriter would poke only the H key and then the 5 key. If the kid's first move is dead random, it's 28:1 against him playing the mate in one. But to have a rating at all, he knows the moves and the objective, right? Don't know what a 100elo is like but if he's focused he *should* see it. As a compromise I'll give him 2:1

checkmated0001
basketstorm wrote:

Stop judging people by their chess.com Elo. Elo is bizarrely distorted here.

Nope.

Also, to answer the original question, I'd say about 50% winning chance for the 100 elo, give or take 5%.

basketstorm
checkmated0001 wrote:
basketstorm wrote:

Stop judging people by their chess.com Elo. Elo is bizarrely distorted here.

Nope.

Yep.

Penguin4096
Aserew12phone 写道:

And they probably dont know what chess. Com is

that's not true, they're literally using the website

Penguin4096
Diazarus 写道:

I was gonna say take a bucket loader to the beach, scoop up half a cubic yard of sand , count the grains and put that number before the colon. But then I saw the board setup, so......... Surely far, far better than the odds that a chimp strolling up to a typewriter would poke only the H key and then the 5 key. If the kid's first move is dead random, it's 28:1 against him playing the mate in one. But to have a rating at all, he knows the moves and the objective, right? Don't know what a 100elo is like but if he's focused he *should* see it. As a compromise I'll give him 2:1

this seems to be a fair answer. idk how you maked a 100elo focused, probably more just able to observe than anything. fair though

Penguin4096
checkmated0001 写道:
basketstorm wrote:

Stop judging people by their chess.com Elo. Elo is bizarrely distorted here.

Nope.

Also, to answer the original question, I'd say about 50% winning chance for the 100 elo, give or take 5%.

fair

RyanZ_MD

I think it's about 10%. The 100 would probably just give a random check, and not even know it's checkmate

Penguin4096
basketstorm 写道:
checkmated0001 wrote:
basketstorm wrote:

Stop judging people by their chess.com Elo. Elo is bizarrely distorted here.

Nope.

Yep.

No offense, but you say that ELO is bizarrely distorted, but you are only of 358 rating. So prove that you deserve a higher or lower rating by showing your rating on another platform.

Penguin4096
RyanZ_MD 写道:

I think it's about 10%. The 100 would probably just give a random check, and not even know it's checkmate

nah, I feel like it's higher. It's known that most beginners like to play rather aggressive, but I agree that they probably won't know it's checkmate. But some may bring the queen out to the square other than h5.