I mean crazy stuff happens. Sometimes huge upsets occur. I am still taking Kramnik though.
Kramnik Hates Chess.com
Look at these stats and make your own conclusion ...
We'd need to know the time controls for these stats in order to gauge them fairly.
Blitz? Bullet? Increment? No increment?
Different timers change things.
The longer the timer and the longer the increment, the more I'd say Kramnik is the favorite.
The shorter the timer and the shorter the increment, the more I'd say Naroditsky is the favorite.
Good point. The longest two chess.com games were between Kramnik and Jospem and it was 15|3, one win one loss. The rest Kramnik's games against both players is just 3+2.
Jospem and Naroditsky also played a lot of 1 min bullet against each other. And if we discard that we will see that Jospem and Naroditsky played mostly 3 min no increment and Danya won 54.78%, lost 34.16% and drew 11.06%. Hmmm... This changes everything and it's hard to make predictions about Danya although he himself believes Kramnik will beat him.
But Jospem vs Kramnik real world vs online performance difference seems sus. Nevertheless Kramnik after their last real-world match has stopped questioning legitimacy of Jospem's abilities, somehow that convinced him.
UPd: that was september's reupload lol. Kramnik info is from 32:30 (turn subtitles and auto-translate on).
In short: Kramnik's team (Uzbekistan) got 3rd place in the Olympiad. India - first, USA - second.
During the Olympiad Kramnik appealed to prohibit the smartphones because he noticed too many players and random people walking around with their smartphones. Organizers agreed.
Bearded author of the video referred to some of smartphone users as "instagram ladies" and he said that while showing Anna "The Cow Opening Inventor" Cramling playing.
I thouhgt Kramnik was from Russia, not Uzbekistan.
He just trains Uzbekistan I don't know why. He is from USSR/Russia but lives in Switzerland for many years.
Basketstorm, I have looked into Chess.com repeatedly shutting down people talking about cheating, or any discussion of it. That is very suspicious. Why do they need to hide anything if cheating is not a problem? Why not be transparent and share how they are stopping closet cheaters and others not detectable on their database? Maybe Cheating is actually I bigger problem than I thought. Must have been because I have not personally faced many cheaters, like at all. Must be lucky.
Basketstorm, I have looked into Chess.com repeatedly shutting down people talking about cheating, or any discussion of it. That is very suspicious. Why do they need to hide anything if cheating is not a problem? Why not be transparent
Obviously because
a) dunces can create dumpster fires, which will spread to other dunces, as we can plainly see happened with Danyas case, Jospem's, and numerous others
b) unproven accusations are slanderous and should not be allowed for that reason alone
c) the site already has a reporting mechanism and a team working on cheating, whining from losers is not going to make any difference
So basically stats tell that in a controlled environment Kramnik is stronger than jospem while in an uncontrolled environment jospem is stronger than Danya. Therefore it's easy to predict that in a controlled environment Kramnik would "destroy" Danya.