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Global warming - an urgent problem requiring radical solution (no politics or religion)

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RonaldJosephCote

If you actually knew what a woke world was, and bigoted content,.....you'd probably be violating Elroch's standards. meh

mpaetz
lfPatriotGames wrote:

If you want to bring things back to natural functioning, I agree. The natural state of the planet is one of warmth, not cold. Returning the earth back to it's more normal temperature is better than doing nothing at all. It's a reasonable insurance policy on the future.

Earth's more natural climate functioning has been altered by human activity over the last 200 years. The "more normal" temperature would be about 2.5 degrees F less than in 2023. There is no way to prevent more ever-accelerating heating without some alterations to our present lifestyle. The present conditions are not natural.

DiogenesDue
EndgameEnthusiast2357 wrote:

So start developing Malaria vaccines. Mosquitos and poisonous snakes and "ocean neurotoxins" is quite a stretch to try and outweigh the planet-wide negatives of the upcoming ice age. Hurricanes are a local issue and we should easily have the technology to deal with them in the next 20-30 years. The most common illnesses like cold and flu, where the flu kills a couple million every year, thrive in colder, less humid weather. Summer temps + high humidity is best for the immune systems defense against viruses, which affect humans the most. That trumps tetraditoxin levels in crabs off the coast of Haiti or whatever lol.

Lol. The same people that think global warming is okay are also anti-vaccine, so that would go nowhere fast.

As for the discussion itself, I really wonder if the other side could ever manage to stop arguing using false dichotomies, even if they understood what they were.

mpaetz
EndgameEnthusiast2357 wrote:
mpaetz wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

When you say "because global cooling would be worse" I hate to be the one that has to state the blindingly obvious to you. Global cooling IS worse. If, for some still unknown mysterious reason you believe global warming is worse than global cooling, lets see you come up with 21 different reasons why.

No one is advocating "global cooling", just noting that unprecedented, unnaturally quick global warming will cause many problems. It seems that the best idea would be to keep the average global temperature about what it has been over the last many thousands of years in which human civilization has developed and thrived.

A few first thoughts on why cooler is better than warmer: malaria-carrying mosquitoes thrive in warm regions, droughts and desertification are driven by heat, poisonous snakes are more common and more active in warm climates, hurricanes (and typhoons and cyclones) form over warmer oceans, increased warmth will raise sea levels, forest fires are more frequent in hot weather, domoic acid (a neurotoxin that can be deadly to humans) forms in warmer oceans and is absorbed by shellfish and crabs, ski resorts have shorter seasons in warmer areas, tropical diseases (dengue fever, sleeping sickness, ebola, yellow fever, leprosy, and many more) are much more common and spread more readily in warm climates. I'm sure you could think of many more.

So start developing Malaria vaccines. Mosquitos and poisonous snakes and "ocean neurotoxins" is quite a stretch to try and outweigh the planet-wide negatives of the upcoming ice age. Hurricanes are a local issue and we should easily have the technology to deal with them in the next 20-30 years. The most common illnesses like cold and flu, where the flu kills a couple million every year, thrive in colder, less humid weather. Summer temps + high humidity is best for the immune systems defense against viruses, which affect humans the most. That trumps tetraditoxin levels in crabs off the coast of Haiti or whatever lol.

Your lack of basic knowledge is staggering and amusing. There are malaria vaccines and treatments, just as there are flu vaccines and treatments--neither are infallible. There are no technologies on the horizon for preventing hurricanes and other warm-water based storms--they have been occurring for thousands of years with no successful mitigation processes developed yet and none on the horizon. There is no such thing as tetraditoxin. Tetrodotoxin is a deadly (to humans) neurotoxin found in some marine life, but I mentioned domoic acid, common in clams, oysters, lobsters, sardines, anchovies, squid, mussels, scallops and other bivalves and fish when certain types of algae bloom in warm waters. Historically found around Japan and the west coast of North America, it has popped in other places, such as Prince Edward Island. When water temperatures cool, the sea life quickly sheds the acid (except for razor clams, who take a long time to become safe). Public health agencies on the Pacific coast regularly test species subject to this condition and fishermen are forbidden to harvest certain fish for much of the year. Warming Atlantic coastal waters will raise the danger there--perhaps you can soon have a shrimp salad, fall into a coma, and suffer severe permanent amnesia.

playerafar
Elroch wrote:

As I have explained before (so @IfPatriotGames has no excuse for not taking into account) it is entirely irrelevant whether global warming is better or worse than "global cooling", when there is scarcely any chance of the latter happening in this millennium.

This thinking is like arguing that smoking is a good idea because lung cancer is not as bad as some rare, terrible disease.

Elroch is correct.
But there's another point and that is that the ways in which IPG might find new stupid arguments are an infinite set.
There is some contrast IPG's posts versus EE's posts.
It seems they both go all-out to maximize the stupidity of their postings but EE finds more creative ways to do so.
ukace on the other hand - thinks he has 'sources'.
Whichever of the three forms of denialism - the foolish premises of their postings form an infintite set.
Point: even though global waming denial tactics can be categorized they can and will keep finding new ways to make their invalid arguments.

ukace

Malaria can easily be eliminated as Singapore has shown. But it does require an effort and a high-functioning society. Made easier through fossil fuel use.

lfPatriotGames
Elroch wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:
Elroch wrote:

I have no idea who these completely unspecified people are and I am not very interested. I am only interested in what is scientifically true, and the majority of those in positions of power are only interested in using the scientific facts to guide their policy making.

I have to call your bluff and point out that you have never heard anyone with any standing at all ever describe an average day as "near record". Literally the only person I have ever seen do so in my life is YOU. Even basic competence stops people doing that sort of thing.

I don't play poker so I don't know the response to calling bluff. But I have to agree with Ukace as I have ALSO seen on my weather app ridiculous claims. They often get it very wrong. It will have the little warning icon pop up about dangerous weather today. Dangerous meaning a quarter inch of rain and winds gusting to 20mph. Or when they say "near record" cold or heat. But hopefully you are right. Hopefully they are just clickbait artists and have no "standing".

While it is obviously possible for an app to be wrong - anyone can publish one - I think it is more likely that you are not telling the truth (software developers are generally speaking much more rational than you).

So, prove it.

[It has to be observed that what some non-authoritative app says about the weather is entirely irrelevant to this discussion].

Today parts of the UK are expected to see 150 mm of rain and some flooding. That's quite extreme weather, meriting warnings by the highly proficient Met Office.

I think I have an idea of what calling bluff means now. Here is another example in addition to the one I provided earlier. MSN has an article from the Daily Express US about a weather forecast. I think it's alarmist, but others may think it's perfectly normal. Probably because they are used to it.

"Christmas travel to be hit by huge snow bomb as Americans told to plan ahead" Just like so much of the rhetoric here, wild exaggeration seems to be the norm. By "snow bomb" what they actually mean is completely normal winter weather. Just like our "bomb cyclone" that produced a normal, and in places less than normal, amount of rain.

Senior-Lazarus_Long

You realize that the number one mission of meteorologists is the safety of the public? Not only are they remarkably accurate, it's their duty to be cautious.

lfPatriotGames
mpaetz wrote:
lfPatriotGames wrote:

If you want to bring things back to natural functioning, I agree. The natural state of the planet is one of warmth, not cold. Returning the earth back to it's more normal temperature is better than doing nothing at all. It's a reasonable insurance policy on the future.

Earth's more natural climate functioning has been altered by human activity over the last 200 years. The "more normal" temperature would be about 2.5 degrees F less than in 2023. There is no way to prevent more ever-accelerating heating without some alterations to our present lifestyle. The present conditions are not natural.

I have no doubt earths climate has been altered, by some degree, from humans. But so far that's a good thing. The butterfly effect is a real thing, in my opinion.

2.5 degrees less than what we have today would be a pretty bad idea. We currently rely on warmer weather for health and safety around the world. If the worlds population was a tenth of what it is now we could probably get away with cooler temperatures like that. But we have 8 billion people to feed and keep safe. A warmer planet is the only way to accomplish that. By returning the earth back to it's more normal, HIGHER, temperature plants, animals, and people will thrive. Because all of those things prefer heat over cold.

zborg

Quantum Mechanics + Computer networks + Yuval Noah Harari's new book (Nexus, 2024) = your "Enlightenment" around GCC (writ large) -- for anyone willing to invest the reading time needed. Enjoy.

lfPatriotGames
Senior-Lazarus_Long wrote:

You realize that the number one mission of meteorologists is the safety of the public? Not only are they remarkably accurate, it's their duty to be cautious.

No, I was not aware of that. I am not aware of any meteorologist mission statement or primary purpose to be that of safety. I thought safety was the realm of firefighters, police, the military, etc.

I thought meteorologists were primarily supposed to be focused on predicting the weather. Just like a news caster is not supposed to be part of the news. They are supposed to just report the news and let the viewer decide if it's "safe" or not.

Senior-Lazarus_Long
Yes, generally speaking, warm seas tend to have less diverse and abundant marine life compared to cold seas because warmer water holds less dissolved oxygen, which is crucial for most aquatic organisms to survive, making it a less hospitable environment for many species; this is why colder regions often have richer ecosystems. 
 
Key points about why cold seas support more life than warm seas:
  • Oxygen levels:
    Cold water can hold more dissolved oxygen than warm water, which is vital for aquatic respiration. 
     
  • Nutrient circulation:
    Colder waters tend to have better vertical mixing, bringing nutrients from deeper layers to the surface, fueling plankton growth which forms the base of the food chain. 
     
  • Temperature stress:
    Many marine species have optimal temperature ranges, and exceeding those in warmer waters can cause physiological stress and impact their ability to reproduce. 
     
Important considerations:
  • Not all warm waters are the same:
    Some tropical coral reefs, which thrive in warm waters, are incredibly diverse ecosystems, but they are highly sensitive to changes in temperature and acidity. 
     
  • Impact of climate change:
    Rising ocean temperatures due to climate change are causing significant disruptions in marine ecosystems, often leading to declines in biodiversity in previously rich warm water regions. 
Senior-Lazarus_Long

Yes, according to scientific estimates, around 90% of all life on Earth is found in the ocean, making it the primary habitat for most living organisms on the planet. 

lfPatriotGames

I'm glad you are putting into visual form what resides in the minds of a few people here when it comes to this topic. An excuse and explanation that's completely blank.

Senior-Lazarus_Long

You said life prefers warmth, but on Earth most life prefers colder temps.

lfPatriotGames
Senior-Lazarus_Long wrote:

You said life prefers warmth, but on Earth most life prefers colder temps.

No, I'm afraid you've been misled when it comes to that.

Too hot is bad, too cold is bad. So just right is better. The average earth temperature is something like 59 degrees. Which is about 27 degrees above freezing. If an area is constantly 27 degrees higher or lower than the earths average, what happens?

What happens if an area is constantly 32 degrees? How much life will that area produce? And what about the opposite? What about an area that's constantly 86 degrees? How much life will that area support?

Imagine yourself in either one of those situations. Without proper protection from the environment, which one would you last longer in? Which one are you more likely to thrive in? It's pretty obvious when it comes to supporting life, warmer is better than colder.

Elroch

Fantasy scenarios (like places with constant temperatures) are of very little relevance.

It's what happens in the real world, and the (probabilistic) distribution of what will happen in the future in different possible scenarios.

Senior-Lazarus_Long

90% of all life is in the ocean. Ocean life overwhelmingly prefer colder temps.

Elroch
ukace wrote:

Malaria can easily be eliminated as Singapore has shown. But it does require an effort and a high-functioning society. Made easier through fossil fuel use.

Air pollution is responsible for about 1 in 5 deaths in South and South-East Asia (1 in 8 globally, but some countries are much worse) - a much greater problem than the severe problem of malaria.

They need clean, sustainable energy for multiple reasons.

I am not sure everyone has experienced what severe air pollution is like. I first experienced it in the summer in Athens, but the worst I have ever experienced - 6 times over WHO limits for lethal pollutants - was in Baoding in China. The pollution hits you in the back of your throat like you are walking into the fumes from a furnace. There is an instinctive feeling of being suffocated (the real problem is more insidious),

lfPatriotGames
Senior-Lazarus_Long wrote:

90% of all life is in the ocean. Ocean life overwhelmingly prefer colder temps.

90% of all life is in the ocean? Well that could be, but that sounds like it might be another one of your guesses. Like meteorologists' main mission is public safety.

Even if you believed life prefers cold, do you believe that's how life started on earth? From a cold environment or a warm one? In other words, do you honestly believe cold is better suited to creating and maintaining life on earth over warm conditions?